Emergency department use and Artificial Intelligence in Pelotas: design and baseline results.

OBJETIVO: To describe the initial baseline results of a population-based study, as well as a protocol in order to evaluate the performance of different machine learning algorithms with the objective of predicting the demand for urgent and emergency services in a representative sample of adults from the urban area of Pelotas, Southern Brazil. METHODS: The study is entitled "Emergency department use and Artificial Intelligence in PELOTAS (RS) (EAI PELOTAS)" (https://wp.ufpel.edu.br/eaipelotas/). Between September and December 2021, a baseline was carried out with participants. A follow-up was planned to be conducted after 12 months in order to assess the use of urgent and emergency services in the last year. Afterwards, machine learning algorithms will be tested to predict the use of urgent and emergency services over one year. RESULTS: In total, 5,722 participants answered the survey, mostly females (66.8%), with an average age of 50.3 years. The mean number of household people was 2.6. Most of the sample has white skin color and incomplete elementary school or less. Around 30% of the sample has obesity, 14% diabetes, and 39% hypertension. CONCLUSION: The present paper presented a protocol describing the steps that were and will be taken to produce a model capable of predicting the demand for urgent and emergency services in one year among residents of Pelotas, in Rio Grande do Sul state.

Treatments used by chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients in Brazil: National Survey of Health, 2013.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence of treatments used for the management of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in the Brazilian adult population. METHODS: A population-based cross-sectional study with data from the 2013 Brazilian National Survey of Health, including individuals aged 40 years or older, with a self-reported medical diagnosis of COPD, chronic bronchitis and/or emphysema, who were asked about treatments used for disease management. RESULTS: A total of 60,202 adults were interviewed, of which 636 were 40 years of age or older and had reported a medical diagnosis of COPD, emphysema, or chronic bronchitis. Less than half (49.4%) of the diagnosed population reported using some type of treatment, with differences regarding the macro-region of the country (South 53.8% - Northeast 41.2%, p = 0.007). Pharmacological treatment was the most reported, and emphysema patients had the highest proportion of those undergoing more than one type of treatment. Among the individuals who reported having only chronic bronchitis, 55.1% (95%CI: 48.7-61.4) used medication, 4.7% (95%CI: 2.6-8.3) underwent physical therapy, and 6.0% (95%CI: 3.6-9.9) oxygen therapy. On the other hand, among the emphysema patients, 44.1% (95%CI: 36.8-51.7) underwent drug treatment, 8.8% (95%CI: 5.4-14.2) physical therapy, and 10.0% (95%CI: 6.3-15.6) oxygen therapy. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of treatments for COPD management was below ideal in 2013. The pharmacological treatment was the main type of treatment, followed by oxygen therapy and physical therapy.

Emergency department use and Artificial Intelligence in Pelotas: design and baseline results / Uso serviços de serviços de urgência e emergência e Inteligência Artificial em Pelotas: protocolo e resultados iniciais

RESUMO Objetivo: To describe the initial baseline results of a population-based study, as well as a protocol in order to evaluate the performance of different machine learning algorithms with the objective of predicting the demand for urgent and emergency services in a representative sample of adults from the urban area of Pelotas, Southern Brazil. Methods: The study is entitled "Emergency department use and Artificial Intelligence in PELOTAS (RS) (EAI PELOTAS)" (https://wp.ufpel.edu.br/eaipelotas/). Between September and December 2021, a baseline was carried out with participants. A follow-up was planned to be conducted after 12 months in order to assess the use of urgent and emergency services in the last year. Afterwards, machine learning algorithms will be tested to predict the use of urgent and emergency services over one year. Results: In total, 5,722 participants answered the survey, mostly females (66.8%), with an average age of 50.3 years. The mean number of household people was 2.6. Most of the sample has white skin color and incomplete elementary school or less. Around 30% of the sample has obesity, 14% diabetes, and 39% hypertension. Conclusion: The present paper presented a protocol describing the steps that were and will be taken to produce a model capable of predicting the demand for urgent and emergency services in one year among residents of Pelotas, in Rio Grande do Sul state.

RESUMO Objetivo: Descrever os resultados iniciais da linha de base de um estudo de base populacional, bem como um protocolo para avaliar o desempenho de diferentes algoritmos de aprendizado de máquina, com o objetivo de predizer a demanda de serviços de urgência e emergência em uma amostra representativa de adultos da zona urbana de Pelotas, no Sul do Brasil. Métodos: O estudo intitula-se "Emergency department use and Artificial Intelligence in PELOTAS (RS) (EAI PELOTAS)" (https://wp.ufpel.edu.br/eaipelotas/). Entre setembro e dezembro de 2021, foi realizada uma linha de base com os participantes. Está previsto um acompanhamento após 12 meses para avaliar a utilização de serviços de urgência e emergência no último ano. Em seguida, serão testados algoritmos de machine learning para predizer a utilização de serviços de urgência e emergência no período de um ano. Resultados: No total, 5.722 participantes responderam à pesquisa, a maioria do sexo feminino (66,8%), com idade média de 50,3 anos. O número médio de pessoas no domicílio foi de 2,6. A maioria da amostra tem cor da pele branca e ensino fundamental incompleto ou menos. Cerca de 30% da amostra estava com obesidade, 14% com diabetes e 39% eram hipertensos. Conclusão: O presente trabalho apresentou um protocolo descrevendo as etapas que foram e serão tomadas para a produção de um modelo capaz de prever a demanda por serviços de urgência e emergência em um ano entre moradores de Pelotas, no estado do Rio Grande do Sul.

[Delay in quadrivalent vaccine (DTP+Hib) in children 12 to 23 months of age: Brazilian National Health Survey, 2013]. / Atraso na vacina tetravalente (DTP+Hib) em crianças de 12 a 23 meses de idade: Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde, 2013.

The study aimed to estimate the prevalence of delay in the three doses of quadrivalent vaccine (DTP+Hib) in children 12 to 23 months of age in Brazil, based on data from the Brazilian National Health Survey (PNS) of 2013 and to analyze the delay in each of the doses according to sociodemographic variables and use of health services and public health interventions. The data are from the PNS a cross-sectional study performed in 2013. The outcome was delay in at least one of the three doses of the quadrivalent vaccine. Delay was defined as a dose received at least 30 days after the recommended date according to information on the child's vaccination card. Prevalence of delay was analyzed according to sociodemographic variables and use of health services. A descriptive analysis was performed to obtain absolute and relative frequencies and their respective 95% confidence intervals. Of the 2,016 children with information collected, 1,843 were analyzed. The prevalence of delay in at least one dose of the vaccine was 44%. There was a delay of 14.8% in the first dose, 28.8% in the second, and 45.4% in the third, and 10% of the children had delays in all three doses. Higher prevalence of delay was associated with male gender, brown skin color, the poorest income quintile, and residence in rural areas and the North of Brazil. The study revealed high prevalence of delay with the quadrivalent vaccine (DTP+Hib) in children 12 to 23 months of age in Brazil, with the highest delay in the third dose.

O objetivo foi estimar a prevalência do atraso nas três doses da vacina tetravalente (DTP+Hib) em crianças de 12 a 23 meses de idade, no Brasil, por meio dos dados da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde (PNS) de 2013 e descrever o atraso em cada uma das doses segundo variáveis sociodemográficas, utilização de serviços e intervenções públicas de saúde. Foram utilizados dados da PNS, estudo transversal realizado em 2013. O desfecho foi o atraso pelo menos em uma das três doses da vacina tetravalente. Considerou-se como atraso a dose recebida pelo menos 30 dias após a data preconizada, segundo informação da caderneta de vacinação. A prevalência do atraso foi descrita segundo variáveis sociodemográficas e utilização de serviços de saúde. Realizou-se análise descritiva obtendo-se frequências absolutas e relativas e seus respectivos intervalos de 95% de confiança. Das 2.016 crianças com informações coletadas, 1.843 foram analisadas. A prevalência de atraso de pelo menos uma dose da vacina foi de 44%. Observou-se atraso de 14,8% na primeira, 28,8% na segunda e 45,4% na terceira dose, sendo que 10% das crianças tiveram atraso nas três doses. Maiores prevalências de atraso foram encontradas em crianças do sexo masculino, de cor da pele parda, pertencentes ao quintil mais pobre de riqueza, moradores da zona rural e da Região Norte do Brasil. Evidenciou-se alta prevalência de atraso na vacina tetravalente (DTP+Hib) em crianças de 12 a 23 meses do Brasil, sendo maior na terceira dose.

El objetivo fue estimar la prevalencia del atraso en las tres dosis de la vacuna tetravalente (DTP+Hib) en niños de 12 a 23 meses de edad, en Brasil, mediante los datos de la Encuesta Nacional de Salud (PNS) de 2013 y describir el retraso en cada una de las dosis, según variables sociodemográficas, utilización de servicios e intervenciones públicas de salud. Se trata de un estudio transversal, realizado en 2013, con datos de la PNS. El resultado fue el retraso por lo menos en una de las tres dosis de la vacuna tetravalente. Se consideró como un atraso la dosis recibida por lo menos 30 días tras la fecha prefijada, según la información de la cartilla de vacunación. La prevalencia del atraso fue descrita según variables sociodemográficas y utilización de servicios de salud. Se realizó un análisis descriptivo, obteniéndose frecuencias absolutas y relativas, así como sus respectivos intervalos de 95% de confianza. De los 2016 niños con información recogida, se analizaron 1843. La prevalencia de atraso de por lo menos una dosis de la vacuna fue de un 44%. Se observó un retraso de 14,8% en la primera, un 28,8% en la segunda y un 45,4% en la tercera dosis, siendo que un 10% de los niños sufrieron atraso en las tres dosis. Las mayores prevalencias de atraso se encontraron en niños de sexo masculino, mestizos, pertenecientes al quintil más pobre de riqueza, habitantes de la zona rural y de la Región Norte de Brasil. Se evidenció una alta prevalencia de atraso en la vacuna tetravalente (DTP+Hib) en niños de 12 a 23 meses de Brasil, siendo mayor en la tercera dosis.

Treatments used by chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients in Brazil: National Survey of Health, 2013 / Tratamentos utilizados por portadores de DPOC no Brasil: Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde, 2013

ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To estimate the prevalence of treatments used for the management of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in the Brazilian adult population. METHODS A population-based cross-sectional study with data from the 2013 Brazilian National Survey of Health, including individuals aged 40 years or older, with a self-reported medical diagnosis of COPD, chronic bronchitis and/or emphysema, who were asked about treatments used for disease management. RESULTS A total of 60,202 adults were interviewed, of which 636 were 40 years of age or older and had reported a medical diagnosis of COPD, emphysema, or chronic bronchitis. Less than half (49.4%) of the diagnosed population reported using some type of treatment, with differences regarding the macro-region of the country (South 53.8% - Northeast 41.2%, p = 0.007). Pharmacological treatment was the most reported, and emphysema patients had the highest proportion of those undergoing more than one type of treatment. Among the individuals who reported having only chronic bronchitis, 55.1% (95%CI: 48.7-61.4) used medication, 4.7% (95%CI: 2.6-8.3) underwent physical therapy, and 6.0% (95%CI: 3.6-9.9) oxygen therapy. On the other hand, among the emphysema patients, 44.1% (95%CI: 36.8-51.7) underwent drug treatment, 8.8% (95%CI: 5.4-14.2) physical therapy, and 10.0% (95%CI: 6.3-15.6) oxygen therapy. CONCLUSION The prevalence of treatments for COPD management was below ideal in 2013. The pharmacological treatment was the main type of treatment, followed by oxygen therapy and physical therapy.

RESUMO OBJETIVO Estimar a prevalência dos tratamentos utilizados para o manejo da doença pulmonar obstrutiva crônica (DPOC) na população adulta brasileira. MÉTODOS Estudo transversal de base populacional com dados oriundos da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde de 2013, incluindo indivíduos com 40 anos ou mais, com diagnóstico médico autorreferido de DPOC, bronquite crônica e/ou enfisema, os quais foram questionados sobre tratamentos utilizados para o manejo da doença. RESULTADOS Foram entrevistados 60.202 adultos, dos quais 636 tinham 40 ou mais anos de idade e haviam referido diagnóstico médico de DPOC, enfisema ou bronquite crônica. Menos da metade (49,4%) da população diagnosticada relatou utilizar algum tipo de tratamento, havendo diferenças quanto à macrorregião do país (Sul 53,8% - Nordeste 41,2%, p = 0,007). O tratamento medicamentoso foi o mais referido e portadores de enfisema apresentaram a maior proporção de mais de um tipo de tratamento utilizado. Entre os indivíduos que declararam ter apenas bronquite crônica, 55,1% (IC95% 48,7-61,4) usavam medicamento, 4,7% (IC95% 2,6-8,3) realizavam fisioterapia e 6,0% (IC95% 3,6-9,9) oxigenoterapia. Por outro lado, entre os enfisematosos, 44,1% (IC95% 36,8-51,7) realizavam tratamento medicamentoso, 8,8% (IC95% 5,4-14,2) fisioterapia e 10,0% (IC95% 6,3-15,6) oxigenoterapia. CONCLUSÕES As prevalências de tratamentos para o manejo da DPOC estavam aquém do ideal em 2013. O medicamentoso foi o principal tipo de tratamento, seguido de oxigenoterapia e fisioterapia.

Atraso na vacina tetravalente (DTP+Hib) em crianças de 12 a 23 meses de idade: Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde, 2013 / Delay in quadrivalent vaccine (DTP+Hib) in children 12 to 23 months of age: Brazilian National Health Survey, 2013 / Retraso en la vacuna tetravalente (DTP+Hib) en niños de 12 a 23 meses de edad: Encuesta Nacional de Salud, 2013

Resumo: O objetivo foi estimar a prevalência do atraso nas três doses da vacina tetravalente (DTP+Hib) em crianças de 12 a 23 meses de idade, no Brasil, por meio dos dados da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde (PNS) de 2013 e descrever o atraso em cada uma das doses segundo variáveis sociodemográficas, utilização de serviços e intervenções públicas de saúde. Foram utilizados dados da PNS, estudo transversal realizado em 2013. O desfecho foi o atraso pelo menos em uma das três doses da vacina tetravalente. Considerou-se como atraso a dose recebida pelo menos 30 dias após a data preconizada, segundo informação da caderneta de vacinação. A prevalência do atraso foi descrita segundo variáveis sociodemográficas e utilização de serviços de saúde. Realizou-se análise descritiva obtendo-se frequências absolutas e relativas e seus respectivos intervalos de 95% de confiança. Das 2.016 crianças com informações coletadas, 1.843 foram analisadas. A prevalência de atraso de pelo menos uma dose da vacina foi de 44%. Observou-se atraso de 14,8% na primeira, 28,8% na segunda e 45,4% na terceira dose, sendo que 10% das crianças tiveram atraso nas três doses. Maiores prevalências de atraso foram encontradas em crianças do sexo masculino, de cor da pele parda, pertencentes ao quintil mais pobre de riqueza, moradores da zona rural e da Região Norte do Brasil. Evidenciou-se alta prevalência de atraso na vacina tetravalente (DTP+Hib) em crianças de 12 a 23 meses do Brasil, sendo maior na terceira dose.

Abstract: The study aimed to estimate the prevalence of delay in the three doses of quadrivalent vaccine (DTP+Hib) in children 12 to 23 months of age in Brazil, based on data from the Brazilian National Health Survey (PNS) of 2013 and to analyze the delay in each of the doses according to sociodemographic variables and use of health services and public health interventions. The data are from the PNS a cross-sectional study performed in 2013. The outcome was delay in at least one of the three doses of the quadrivalent vaccine. Delay was defined as a dose received at least 30 days after the recommended date according to information on the child's vaccination card. Prevalence of delay was analyzed according to sociodemographic variables and use of health services. A descriptive analysis was performed to obtain absolute and relative frequencies and their respective 95% confidence intervals. Of the 2,016 children with information collected, 1,843 were analyzed. The prevalence of delay in at least one dose of the vaccine was 44%. There was a delay of 14.8% in the first dose, 28.8% in the second, and 45.4% in the third, and 10% of the children had delays in all three doses. Higher prevalence of delay was associated with male gender, brown skin color, the poorest income quintile, and residence in rural areas and the North of Brazil. The study revealed high prevalence of delay with the quadrivalent vaccine (DTP+Hib) in children 12 to 23 months of age in Brazil, with the highest delay in the third dose.

Resumen: El objetivo fue estimar la prevalencia del atraso en las tres dosis de la vacuna tetravalente (DTP+Hib) en niños de 12 a 23 meses de edad, en Brasil, mediante los datos de la Encuesta Nacional de Salud (PNS) de 2013 y describir el retraso en cada una de las dosis, según variables sociodemográficas, utilización de servicios e intervenciones públicas de salud. Se trata de un estudio transversal, realizado en 2013, con datos de la PNS. El resultado fue el retraso por lo menos en una de las tres dosis de la vacuna tetravalente. Se consideró como un atraso la dosis recibida por lo menos 30 días tras la fecha prefijada, según la información de la cartilla de vacunación. La prevalencia del atraso fue descrita según variables sociodemográficas y utilización de servicios de salud. Se realizó un análisis descriptivo, obteniéndose frecuencias absolutas y relativas, así como sus respectivos intervalos de 95% de confianza. De los 2016 niños con información recogida, se analizaron 1843. La prevalencia de atraso de por lo menos una dosis de la vacuna fue de un 44%. Se observó un retraso de 14,8% en la primera, un 28,8% en la segunda y un 45,4% en la tercera dosis, siendo que un 10% de los niños sufrieron atraso en las tres dosis. Las mayores prevalencias de atraso se encontraron en niños de sexo masculino, mestizos, pertenecientes al quintil más pobre de riqueza, habitantes de la zona rural y de la Región Norte de Brasil. Se evidenció una alta prevalencia de atraso en la vacuna tetravalente (DTP+Hib) en niños de 12 a 23 meses de Brasil, siendo mayor en la tercera dosis.

Temporal evolution of and factors associated with asthma and wheezing in schoolchildren in Brazil.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the evolution of the prevalence of asthma and wheezing among schoolchildren in Brazil from 2012 to 2015, as well as to identify factors associated with both conditions. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study using data from the Brazilian National School-Based Adolescent Health Survey for 2012 and 2015. To characterize the evolution of the prevalence of asthma and wheezing, we used linear regression with weighted-least-squares estimation and presented the annual percent change (APC). RESULTS: During the study period, there was a reduction in the prevalence of wheezing, from 23.2% in 2012 to 22.4% in 2015 (APC, -0.27). The prevalence of asthma increased from 12.4% in 2012 to 16.0% in 2015 (APC, 1.20). The increase in the prevalence of asthma was greatest in the southern region of the country (APC, 2.17). Having any history of smoking and having consumed alcohol in the last 30 days were factors that influenced the prevalence of wheezing and the prevalence of a self-reported diagnosis of asthma during the two years evaluated. CONCLUSIONS: There has been an increase in the prevalence of asthma in recent years in Brazil. Our data underscore the importance of improving health strategies and policies aimed at the control of asthma.

Temporal evolution of and factors associated with asthma and wheezing in schoolchildren in Brazil / Evolução temporal e fatores associados a asma e sibilância em escolares no Brasil

ABSTRACT Objective: To estimate the evolution of the prevalence of asthma and wheezing among schoolchildren in Brazil from 2012 to 2015, as well as to identify factors associated with both conditions. Methods: This was a cross-sectional study using data from the Brazilian National School-Based Adolescent Health Survey for 2012 and 2015. To characterize the evolution of the prevalence of asthma and wheezing, we used linear regression with weighted-least-squares estimation and presented the annual percent change (APC). Results: During the study period, there was a reduction in the prevalence of wheezing, from 23.2% in 2012 to 22.4% in 2015 (APC, −0.27). The prevalence of asthma increased from 12.4% in 2012 to 16.0% in 2015 (APC, 1.20). The increase in the prevalence of asthma was greatest in the southern region of the country (APC, 2.17). Having any history of smoking and having consumed alcohol in the last 30 days were factors that influenced the prevalence of wheezing and the prevalence of a self-reported diagnosis of asthma during the two years evaluated. Conclusions: There has been an increase in the prevalence of asthma in recent years in Brazil. Our data underscore the importance of improving health strategies and policies aimed at the control of asthma.

RESUMO Objetivo: Estimar a evolução da prevalência de asma e sibilância em escolares brasileiros nos anos de 2012 e 2015, bem como verificar fatores associados a ambas. Métodos: Estudo transversal utilizando dados da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde do Escolar nos anos de 2012 e 2015. Para verificar a evolução das prevalências de asma e sibilância foi utilizada a regressão linear ponderada pelos quadrados mínimos da variância e apresentada a variação percentual anual (VPA). Resultados: Foi encontrada uma redução da prevalência de sibilância (de 23,2% em 2012 para 22,4% em 2015; VPA: −0,27). A prevalência de asma aumentou de 12,4% em 2012 para 16,0% em 2015 (VPA: 1,20). O maior aumento na prevalência de asma ocorreu na região Sul do país (VPA: 2,17). Ter fumado alguma vez na vida e ter ingerido álcool nos últimos 30 dias foram fatores que influenciaram tanto na prevalência de sibilância quanto na prevalência de diagnóstico referido de asma nos dois anos da pesquisa. Conclusões: Este estudo evidenciou o aumento na prevalência de asma nos últimos anos. Esses dados ressaltam a importância de melhoria das estratégias e políticas de saúde voltadas para o controle da asma.